How Brexit Could Affect The Average Joe
Source: China Briefing After three UK parliament votes against withdrawal and two deadline extensions, UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson may finally be getting his way on October 31. Discussions between EU (European Union) and UK officials recently heated up regarding reaching an exit plan, resulting in Johnson finally securing his deal at the EU summit in Brussels on October 17. If Brexit, or the exit of Britain (UK) from the EU does happen, changes could be in the midst for both average citizens and tourists. If game shows or online casino games from the UK interest you, your pastimes likely will not be affected but it is advantageous to know what is happening abroad.
Johnson’s Next Steps
Few believed Johnson would secure this deal to break the deadlock in Brexit negotiations, but his work is not over. He now must convince lawmakers to approve the deal in Parliament this Saturday for Super Saturday. Super Saturday is when MPs (Members of Parliament) sit in talks to decide what happens next. For the first time since the Falklands War in the early 1980s the Commons will hold debates on a weekend. Now that the EU has endorsed the Brexit plan, all the UK is waiting on is Parliament approval. However, some are sceptical that Johnson will get his approved deal past Parliament. After all, his predecessor Theresa May also tried to get a Brexit plan past British Parliament and failed. Of the 650 members of Parliament, at most 326 look like they would possibly vote in Johnson’s favour. He needs 320 votes to get the deal through, and he may not squeak by. Many members, including those belonging to the Irish nationalist Sinn Fein party and the UK Labour Party, are confirmed to not vote or back the deal. A few others are dead against, while others like the Liberal Democrats likely won’t. Johnson’s deal is mostly riding on the Conservative Party and many independents who are pro-Brexit. Needless to say it will be a tight race and no sources at this time feel they can call the result. Regardless of whether Parliament decides to back the plan, Johnson plans to carry out Brexit – deal or no deal – at the end of the month on October 31. Source: PA Images
So, What Does No-Deal Brexit Mean for You?
No-deal Brexit could spell changes in a variety of ways for the average joe citizen in the UK or tourist because without a deal, the severance does not take into account honouring many services, rights, and political agreements that the UK has with the EU. Ten changes you will likely notice include:
- Supermarket Item Availability – In the UK, nearly 30% of the food available in supermarkets comes from the EU. You may find that food like fruit and vegetables becomes scarcer and more expensive if no deal is passed.
- Escalation of Electricity and Gas – You may also notice an eventual, but significant, increase in electricity and gas supplies. Due to cutting ties with EU energy markets in the case of no deal, the market price could easily climb. The rate of pound against the euro decreasing may also contribute.
- Traveling Precautions – Tourists will need to increase the amount of paperwork required for UK trips. You’ll need a valid passport for a minimum of six months before traveling to the UK and a visa if you stay beyond 90 days for work or study. A big change is that in the case of no deal, your European Health Insurance Card (EHIC) would be irrelevant in the UK.
- Medication Complications – Certain medications may be in short supply in the case of no deal or may increase dramatically in cost. Brace yourselves for shortages.
- Living Abroad Requirements – Nearly 1.3 million people from the UK live in 27 other EU countries. With no-deal Brexit, UK nationals would lose EU citizenship and associated rights and access to services.
- Settled Status – Currently, the UK has an agreement with the EU that protects EU citizens living in the UK. The UK will deport EU citizens after Brexit if those citizens do not apply for “settled status” in time.
- Expensive Imports – Importing goods from the EU may become more expensive. UK firms do not currently pay extra taxes or check on goods traveling over the border, but new rules will apply after Brexit.
- Student Uncertainty – More than 16,000 students are part of the Erasmus study abroad program, placing UK students in the EU and EU students in the UK. Those already enrolled in the program will be unaffected, but those wanting to apply may find it more difficult to secure funding.
- Delayed Ports and Motorways – Certain ports and motorways may experience delays. For example, 85% of lorries used for French channel crossings may be in queues for more than two days. Channel port queues may also reduce flow of trucks to 40-60% of current levels.
- House Prices Affected – Housing markets predict that Brexit could cause a slowdown, as evidenced by prices rising slower in the past year through July than at any other point since September 2012.